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Saturday, November 21, 2009

2010 Top 20 SP, version 2

The Starting Line
by Evan "the Censor" Dickens
evan@fantasybaseballsearch.com

Now that 2009 is officially behind us (and if you think I'm going to use this space to congratulate a team for buying a World Series championship, you're insane) and the Cy Young awards have been handed out (thankfully to the two who were clearly the most deserving--good job, voters, for not getting caught up in wins), what better time to update my ranking of starting pitchers for 2010. Not a whole lot of movement here, though I've had the chance to consider the final month of the season and digest some of the 2010 rankings released by other sites. As of today, here is my draft order for 2010.

1. Tim Lincecum (no change) - No doubt at all; the only real question is how early he goes in the first round. I am willing to take him seventh (after Pujols, Hanley, A-Rod, Braun, Utley, and Howard). The weed bust is a non-issue.

2. Zach Greinke (+1) - Probably can get him late in the second round. Don't forget that he had 17 fewer walks than Lincecum in 4 more IP.

3. Felix Hernandez (+3) - You know everything about his dominance and incredible fastball movement--but did you know he was 1.1 IP behind Verlander for the major league lead?

4. CC Sabathia (+6) - Had to let my Yankee hatred cool after he became an absolute guarantee in the last six weeks of the season. Other than a mulligan for the last day of the season in Tampa, his previous 10 starts: 8-0, 13 ER in 71 IP. Sick.

5. Johan Santana (-3) - I still think there could be quite a bit of value here, but clearly there won't be a reason to reach for him unless there are absolutely zero injury concerns.

6. Roy Halladay (+1) - Can't understate the value of pitching for a contract (and yet again almost leading the majors in IP while posting a 7.5+ K/9), but subject to change based on an offseason trade.

7. Cliff Lee (+4) - No hyperbole: Game 1 of the World Series was one of the most awe-inspiring pitching performances I've seen in the last 7 years. He is a true ace.

8. Chris Carpenter (-2) - 17 wins in 192 IP is pretty intense, but I am pretty gun-shy about an injury-prone SP with a sub-7 K/9.

9. Dan Haren (-5) - Gave up 5+ ER six times in August and September--still a K/BB freak though, and could thrive on an improved team.

10. Justin Verlander (-1) - Ended up leading the majors in IP--who saw that coming? And does that make anyone else just a bit nervous about next year?

11. Javier Vazquez
12. Adam Wainwright
13. Jon Lester
14. Josh Johnson
15. Jake Peavy
16. Ubaldo Jimenez
17. Josh Beckett
18. Tommy Hanson
19. Yovani Gallardo
20. Matt Cain

Outside looking in: Jair Jurrjens, Ted Lilly, Brandon Webb, Wandy Rodriguez, Jered Weaver

I probably will be updating this again sometime in January. If you have any comments, I love to hear them: just leave them on the blog or email me at evan@fantasybaseballsearch.com. See you soon!

~Evan the Censor

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